Sunday, December 18, 2016
Supposedly “Good” News for the Law School Pigs: First Year Enrollment Essentially Flat
The News: On December 16, 2016, Kathryn Rubino posted an ATL entry labeled “For Law Schools, No Change Is Good News.” Here is the full text of her report below:
“Some incredibly mediocre news from the world of legal education: the number of students enrolled in law school has barely increased. There are 36 more students in this year’s 1L class, and that counts as good news since it’s the first time these numbers have gone up since 2010 — when the impact of the Great Recession began to take its toll on law schools.
But to be clear, the small numerical increase registers as a statistical non-event, meaning the numbers are flat from last year. It should also be noted that even if this year’s bump in enrollment was a cause for celebration, law schools are still down 29 percent from their pre-recession highs.
The bad news, at least if you’re a law school admin hoping for a return to the glory days, is that these new numbers may be here for a while, as the National Law Journal reports:
Not so fast, said Derek Muller, a law professor at Pepperdine University School of Law who tracks enrollment trends on his blog Excess of Democracy. The new data suggests that this is the new reality for legal education.
“Flat” is good in the sense of stability, Muller said, but he added, “I think it’s bad for a lot of law schools that were hoping for growth, both in terms of quantity and quality. For schools that had been bracing for a short-term decline, with this bottoming out, I think they’re going to have to expect that this is the new normal.”
Muller predicted that the number of applicants this admissions cycle will remain stable, based on the fact that there has been no significant change in the number of people taking early administrations of the Law School Admission Test.
[Well], at least law schools aren’t losing students. These days, that counts as a reason for cheer.” [Emphasis mine]
Enjoy the “new normal,” bitches! At least, you vile swine are not saddled with outrageous sums of NON-DISCHARGEABLE debt – while hoping to crack into this GLUTTED field. Now, you rodents can go out and make a boatload of money in private practice. Of course, we know that you jackals would rather financially ruin young people - and swindle the taxpayers - than work hard for a living. Also, good luck finding a law firm that will pay you to take sabbaticals, so that you can write pointless law review articles.
Other Coverage: On December 16, 2016, Matt Leichter published an excellent analysis of the situation in his Law School Tuition Bubble blog. The article was entitled “2016: Full-Time Matriculants Trickle Up.” Pay attention to the following portion:
“In calendar year 2016, there were 32,864 full-time matriculants to 204 ABA-accredited law schools, up 257 matriculants from 2015 (+0.8 percent). That year saw an 838-matriculant decline, so the crunch has reversed for the law schools. (These figures exclude the three law school in Puerto Rico, as I usually do.)
Full-time applicant acceptance rates are largely flat, except at the 90th percentile.” [Emphasis mine]
That does not appear to be good news for the certified ABA toilets. For instance, how many top college grads are applying to CreighTTTon or $yracu$e? Take a look at the charts that Leichter compiled as well. Now scroll down for this excerpt:
“102 law schools saw a growth in applications, which is much higher than last year. First place goes to (and you’ll love this) … Indiana Tech (235.4 percent), which will close at the end of the academic year. It received 332 applications, extended only 128 offers, and admitted but 39 full-time students. Indiana Tech’s 75th percentile full-time applicant received a 152 on the LSAT. It preferred to close than accept 204 applicants (~60 percent). Numbers two and three for application growth were Florida (98.9 percent) and Concordia (71.0 percent).
Before anyone gets excited about rising law-school applications, though, I note that 123.5 percent of the rise can be attributed to U.S. News‘ top 14 law schools. That means that all of the growth this year can be attributed to these 14 law schools along with an offset to declines at other schools. Thus, things probably don’t look any better for most schools since last year. In the last two years, I’ve commented on the possibility that applicants believe that now is the best time to go to an elite law school, and while that sentiment dissipated last year, it’s back now for sure.” [Emphasis mine]
Recent college graduates with stellar LSAT scores are evidently taking advantage of the big-ass drop in applications since 2010. How does that help second tier sewers and third tier commodes?! The waterheads enrolling in those cesspits are still screwed. The job prospects remain bleak for TTT law students and graduates, but the "professors" and deans will be happy to take your loan money, i.e. taxpayer funds, anyway.
Conclusion: The bottom-feeding toilets continue to admit morons and cretins who have little to no connections, and essentially no shot in hell at becoming successful lawyers. It will be interesting to see if these ABA-accredited dung heaps are still giving out tuition reductions, i.e. scholarships, to entice these dunces to take the TTTT plunge. Try not to be too damn dumb and accept such an offer, Lemming. You are much better off staying at your current job, learning new skills, making real connections in your field or industry, and seeking pay increases or promotions. That will not cost you three years of your life and you will also avoid crushing debt.
Posted by Nando at 5:18 AM